With the United States yesterday beheading action against Iran Three People, "World War III" was boarded Twitter Trending.
With the US capital of Washington state of emergency requirements of US citizens in Iraq to withdraw immediately. Iran has ordered three days of national mourning in Iran, and vowed to "criminals" will suffer severe reprisals. Iran's UN ambassador said that the United States is tantamount to killing Soule Mani war.
After the world with bated breath to see Iran at the end of three days of official mourning, as well as how to retaliate, the global price of oil, gold and stock prices where also are waiting with bated breath Iranians three days will give the world what kind of surprise.
Many of my friends are asking me how to get to the next situation, in fact, "bold ghost" who will do things, but both the United States and Iraq before the crash, "coward" who certainly have to shake hands.
First of all, for the United States, it is now eager to negotiations.
The United States has just completed the assassination, has always liked to embrace the power of Trump himself has not spade, in charge of the Pentagon's hands the initiative to the president to move out, is represented Trump issued instructions.
For Trump, the assassination of his country's senior diplomatic and intelligence officers, not only to withstand the enormous pressure on the diplomatic, but also worry about the unknown suffer retaliation.
So, as secretary of state last night Pompeo crazy to foreign and security department head of the world's major powers to call, and publish it as Trump and Pompeo two brothers also very nervous on Twitter.
After all, Iran can be considered a US electoral nemesis.
Tehran hostage incident to President Carter lost the presidential position, Benghazi hostage incident has become one of the 2016 campaign when Hillary's largest black spots, Trump and his fellow Republicans were no less then took the opportunity to attack the rival.
So, in order to prevent Iran from becoming a landmine during their election campaign, at the moment Trump eager to arrange talks with Iran, the word "treat" card, you can not set any pre-conditions.
Secondly, Iran is, in fact, also want negotiations.
On the one hand, after all, living in the American continent of the United States, its geopolitical security as "Let the bullets fly," as impregnable in yellow classic towers, the current capacity of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and not enough to turn the table, especially in the absence of two with the support of a large family, the death can not break also reported revenge.
On the other hand, it can generally be regarded as Sulaymaniyah number two man in Iran and Khamenei's conservative successor, the back of his recent years in Iran geopolitical expansion of the above set a hehe exploits.
With 911 post-Bush war in Iraq and the war in Afghanistan has come to an end, the US forces deployed in the Middle East and Central Asia are slowly exit the power vacuum to Sulaymaniyah unprecedented opportunity.
Sulaymaniyah command of the Quds Force to support the large number of political forces, including the Assad government of Syria, the Shiite coalition in Iraq, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Yemen's armed Jose ......
As Sulaymaniyah in the Middle East and Central Asia continue to enhance the right to speak, especially with the rise of ISIS, the US Central Command had to choose to work with in order to protect US interests in the Middle East is huge.
So, Sulejmani is dressed in a cloak of diplomatic personnel of intelligence chief, as with all parties in the Middle East have a complex exchange of interests, seemingly dangerous but actually safe, which is why such an important figure, usually even out body armor do not wear.
However, Sulejmani made a huge reason behind the success, is exactly what his danger.
Iran in recent years, the Assad government can help ward off the rebels of the United States organization, capable of supporting armed Jose Yemen Saudi Arabia played'd rather die, can unite to defeat ISIS with Kurdish militants, supporting Hezbollah in Lebanon and against Israel .. ....
However, this took a group of younger, scheduled to be on a number of global gold master a few dads at the same time fight, not light provides information and training on the can, Sulaymaniyah not only provide a large number of external ordnance equipment and supplies, also you need to buy a huge amount of political contributions for each forces.
This means Sulaymaniyah promote Iranian geopolitical expansion, but also the rapid consumption of valuable foreign exchange reserves of Iran, especially with the Iranian nuclear tore up the six-party agreement after Trump came to power, the interests of Iran's oil exports decline rapidly, the domestic economy there have been a huge shock.
So racking our brains to know, Iran's official system, a lot of people, for militaristic expansion of Sulaymaniyah, is silent resentment.
Now, with the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, successor to Sulaymaniyah, and is bound to see Trump's olive branch, Iran's reformists would necessarily lead to wrong and take advantage of the United States Trump guilty, forcing Bertrand S & P and the United States back to the negotiating table, the lifting of sanctions against Iran.
After all, as long as the Banquet restart six-party talks, Iran blockade ended, the huge oil production capacity will be a steady stream of dollars in exchange for Iran.
This is also in line with Iran's national interests.
In recent years Sulaymaniyah While playing for Iran's Shiite arc of a down, but at present Iran has no economic strength to hold the Crescent, Khamenei needs enough money to be able to unite Shi'ite Muslims in the Middle East .
Thus, while many people are saying, "World War III" in the rumors, but Zhengshi Tang believe that the next may be some tension, but stalled six-party talks but probably because of the air strikes beheaded accelerated restart.
If Zhengshi Tang guess correctly, Trump will give a condition Iran can not refuse as a bargaining chip, that is, as the year the Cuban crisis, the United States secretly withdrew from the nuclear bombs in Turkey as the next year, the United States will silently from withdrawal from Iraq, Iran saw the opportunity to digest Iraq.
Once the negotiations can be restarted, the Middle East powder keg will begin to stall, it also means that the entire Middle East geopolitical appears to open a new chapter ......
But, the vision _ is a little further, even this year, the United States and Iran talk Banquet, Iraq diamond gave Iran the United States, will inevitably kill a Parthian shot trying to get it back.
Died "small six children," the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, even to eat Banquet, fear is nothing but hatred is to buried in the heart, sooner or later you have to do to fight back.
The future of the Middle East powder keg, fear is not stopped .......