Author | Cui Hao original
Zebian | TANG lead
Exhibition | CSDN (ID: CSDNnews)
In the 1950s, from von Neumann and Wiener ( Cybernetics Norbert Wiener, founder of the conversation), the inspired, introduced the concept of "technological singularity" - the technique often exponential rate continues to improve, every from time to time its performance or sensitivity will double ( from "AI's 25 possible" ).
Today, 5G and things of this vast field of technology is in rapid change of phase.
CSDN earliest since 2004 for the development of China large-scale survey, covering by far the largest number of all types of developers crowd, radiation areas, industries most widely distributed of investigation. In the "2019-2020 China's developers report" of the "current situation analysis of Things technology", we find :
69% of developers believe that the next transfer rate of 5G network can reach more than 10 times the 4G network.
The networking industry chain is the largest enterprise in the aspects of big data analysis, accounting for 21%.
85% of developers believe that the intelligent network linking the car is influenced by the 5G areas.
Wi-Fi, Bluetooth is the most common M2M communications technology.
87% of developers believe 5G cost is too high, should reduce the cost of data traffic packages.
5G price available, the three major domestic carriers to the extent the development of 5G, it is necessary to replace the mobile phone has become the three biggest factors affecting 5G penetration.
On the development of things, the most common is still the Linux and Windows operating systems.
Ali Things, cloud Huawei, Baidu IoT is the most common industrial Internet of Things cloud platform, accounting for respectively 47%, 36%, 28%.
Developers of the judgment of 5G
2019, the fifth generation of mobile communication systems finally the long-awaited official business , it also opened a new chapter in the information technology industry. Each new generation of communications systems always lead to greater bandwidth.
According to the report, around seventy percent of developers believe that the next transfer rate of 5G network can reach more than 10 times the 4G network, which is designed to target the beginning 5G standards established in the 5G network users can experience the speed of at least 4G network (10Mbps) 10 times.
However, as communication practitioner prior estimate it, just opened the veil of 5G mobile communication system does not meet most people's expectations. Because there is less 5G network users, cost less expensive packages have not yet launched, each generation 5G terminal is not mature and other reasons. Currently, 87% of the developers thought it was over 5G package fee, and most developers think 5G network currently covers a limited range. According to the road map and timetable for the Ministry of Industry, we may be able to see better coverage of 5G networks around the second half of 2020.
It is because of the current 5G package rates are too high, most developers do not experience before the preparation period of 5G, 41% of developers are in a wait stage, 46% of developers believe that the current 4G and Wi-Fi communications have can basically meet the demand.
It is worth mentioning that the survey, 40% of the developers mentioned concerns about the security risk of leakage of information, 62% of developers think, 5G age should strengthen the protection of privacy, which reflects the current social data privacy more and more attention to the overall trend.
In fact, for communication practitioners and operators, the overall consensus is that the current economic and emerging markets will bring a greater degree of 5G is concentrated in industrial things together, with the car industry scenario, the cost of such user package profit To C market will be increasingly limited in the public market, operators of the pipeline itself become a trend in the consumer market has become increasingly evident.
Such forecasting also investigating car networking and the Internet of Things in reflected. Currently, 89% of developers believe that intelligent vehicle networking will be the main future scenarios of things generate economic benefits.
In addition, since the era of 5G data will still show explosive growth, big data analytics will become a very important part of the networking industry chain in the future.
Both academia and industry believes that the future of data analysis will not only exist in the cloud server cluster or a large data center. With the development of the Internet of Things, located in the city, town or family of edge nodes will also assume part of the responsibility for data analysis, which we call "computing uninstall."
In addition, future family scene at things produced by private data will first be pretreated edge gateway, and then choose whether to upload to the cloud for further analysis. In the process of uploading to the cloud, each node data transfer can still go through the pre-treatment, in other words, will form a "stream computing", communications, computing, integration of data processing could profoundly affect the future of things in the data stream the development of technology. Things cloud platform, family things off, Things App, and other smart devices will is an important part.
I believe that with more and more data, faster and faster transmission speed, network development and the future will be more diversified approach, consequent opportunities will be more and more.
State of the art development of the Internet of Things
Most people already have begun optimistic about the development of things in it, but because too far from the average consumer, the Internet of Things has been tepid. To some extent, share a few years ago shattered the myth of cycling, but also to lower the heat already shed a shadow of things develop.
But if we calm down and look around, you will find things from the concept has become a reality unconsciously, which make the greatest contribution is based on the intelligent home as the representative of the family were associated equipment. This is also consistent with the survey data. In this research, the near-field communication (such as Wi-Fi and Bluetooth) are existing things developer primary means of communication, the proportion of up to 69%.
However, this proportion may be as the next 3 - 4 years, a difference of large-scale commercial vehicle networking. Automotive, industrial things together, such high mobility smart grid, high reliability and low latency Things scene would be more suitable carrier network requires overall planning, but the network standard of development is not only technical issues, considering the economic costs and market competition, the future of which technology will become the de facto standard is still the dominant temporarily unable to predict.
In addition, according to the survey, in the past year, the industry trend of things the three pillars of the cloud platform - Ali Things, cloud Huawei, Baidu IoT three IIoT become the largest user platform, and the first four and the shift of Things far opened the gap, and that our actual experience is consistent.
Future foundation of Things platform may continue to show the three pillars of the situation in order to achieve partial hardware-based Huawei's cloud-based software experience and partial Ali, Baidu IOT platform.
Things devices currently in the development process, Linux, Windows and Android operating systems are more common, still continues the PC operating system platform developers share. Although Huawei, Alibaba and other companies in 2019 released their annual Things proprietary operating system, but has not been recognized by large-scale developers, operating system development road of large companies are still things to be done.
In fact, the networking industry and the traditional Internet industry is different contrast, more need to focus on "Flex." Things hardware product maintenance cost is more than the traditional Internet industry, so the design to achieve a truly reliable, users like and practical software products is not just about services, but also need to consider the hardware reliability and practicality. This direct-to-user of the Internet of Things enterprises, especially Internet companies transition from traditional hardware vendors or businesses, there is a very serious challenge, need to stop in-depth understanding of the needs of vertical markets.
Although the field of people with smart home as the representative of the family of things to occupy the mainstream market, but it can really promote social change industry productivity is generally considered industrial things together.
With the development of software in the field of large-scale chip, communications, materials and other hardware industry progress and artificial intelligence, networking market will be "networked objects +" from the original to industrialization, intelligence and computing, communications, integrated development of perception .
Large-scale environmental sensing data generated by the Internet of Things equipment, will also change the pattern of existing data and data analysis applications, such as mobile phones help the future of personal computing center and home gateway cities of the brain as the representative of intelligent edge computing center decisions to people's lives more convenient, of course, data privacy and information security issues attendant will be more severe, which is the next few years the focus of public, developers need your special attention.
About the author: Cui Hao original, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Dr. Aalto University, Chinese Matilda co-founder, know almost excellent communication respondent, know almost 2018 Honorary Member, CSDN "2019 - 2020 Chinese developers report" 5G and Internet of Things special adviser.
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